The 2010 Australian Election – Tasmania

Tasmania state is a group of islands lying south of Victoria state and off of the southeastern corner of the Australian continent. The smallest Australian state, Tasmania’s main island is about the size of West Virginia but has a population of only about 510,000. The largest town is Hobart whose metropolitan area has a population of about 216,000. Although Hobart’s latitude is about 42.9 degrees south (roughly the same distance from the equator as Boston) snowfall there is extremely rare. Winter snowfall is however common in the mountainous central part of the state where much of the terrain is over 1,000 meters (3,300 feet) in height. Tasmania experiences Australia’s slowest population growth, reportedly due to a stagnant local economy and about one-third of the state’s residents are reliant on the state for their primary income.[1]

 Map 1

Position of Tasmania in Australia

 667px-Tasmania_in_Australia.svg

Map 2

Tasmania Major Cities

tasmap-1200

Source: http://www.tas.gov.au

Tasmania is a Labor stronghold and the party took a 5-0 lead in seats in the state going into the 2010 election. The Liberal group made modest first preference vote gains in the election while Labor suffered a 4.6 percentage point drop compared with 2007 with most of those losses becoming the Greens gains. The Labor group lost one seat when an independent candidate, Andrew Wilkie, won a shocking victory in the Denison district, a victory sealed when Liberal voters delivered their preferences to the independent candidate. The Greens scored a strong 16.8% share of the first preference votes:

2010 House of Representatives Election

Tasmania

First Preference Votes

Group or Party

Candidates

Votes

% Share

Seats

Liberal Group

5

109,908

33.6%

0

Labor Group

5

143,796

44.0%

4

Greens

5

55,042

16.8%

0

Midstream Liberal Group

0

0

0%

0

Upstream Group

4

4,618

1.4%

0

Downstream Independent

1

13,788

4.2%

1

Midstream Independent

0

0

0%

0

Totals

20

327,152

100%

5

Source: Australian Election Commission

The Green preference distribution was heavily in favor of the Labor group:

Preference Vote Distribution 2010 Election

Tasmania

From/To Liberal Group Labor Group Net
Greens

11,029

38,919

-27,890

Midstream Liberal Group

0

0

0

Source: Australian Election Commission

The post midstream preferential distribution put Labor up by nearly 19 percentage points over the Liberal group in the state:

2010 Vote Totals After Midstream Preferential Distribution

Tasmania 

Group

Votes

% Share

Liberal Group

120,937

36.97%

Labor Group

182,715

55.85%

Source: Australian Election Commission


[1] All of information in the paragraph is from Wikipedia.

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